Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.190249 0.220892 0.254933 0.295565 0.342764 0.395890 0.460267
2025-04-27 0.145006 0.186603 0.237778 0.305425 0.392616 0.501389 0.647691
2025-05-04 0.120813 0.166853 0.227609 0.313778 0.433112 0.592961 0.824103
2025-05-11 0.102608 0.150090 0.216428 0.316069 0.462390 0.670125 0.988859
2025-05-18 0.087763 0.134898 0.204073 0.313258 0.481938 0.733791 1.140625
2025-05-25 0.074651 0.119916 0.189320 0.303821 0.488904 0.777963 1.266904
2025-06-01 0.067924 0.113616 0.186550 0.311868 0.523051 0.866829 1.473560
2025-06-08 0.061008 0.105922 0.180324 0.313049 0.545487 0.938636 1.660326
2025-06-15 0.055956 0.100599 0.177160 0.318628 0.575475 1.025809 1.883581
2025-06-22 0.049684 0.092279 0.167734 0.311815 0.582385 1.073011 2.040459
2025-06-29 0.044885 0.085983 0.161059 0.308968 0.595788 1.132804 2.227255
2025-07-06 0.041353 0.081592 0.157291 0.310954 0.618234 1.211484 2.459425
2025-07-13 0.039564 0.080426 0.159613 0.325293 0.667070 1.347738 2.826249
2025-07-20 0.037515 0.078501 0.160254 0.336404 0.710940 1.479745 3.202733
2025-07-27 0.035463 0.076296 0.160029 0.345611 0.751838 1.610288 3.592936
2025-08-03 0.032983 0.072874 0.156869 0.348137 0.778646 1.714133 3.938040
2025-08-10 0.030279 0.068628 0.151457 0.345038 0.792582 1.791525 4.233275
2025-08-17 0.027286 0.063375 0.143247 0.334631 0.788632 1.828439 4.438989
2025-08-24 0.026039 0.061965 0.143423 0.343505 0.830428 1.974574 4.924571
2025-08-31 0.024367 0.059354 0.140551 0.344807 0.854283 2.081343 5.327407
2025-09-07 0.023157 0.057708 0.139738 0.350959 0.890658 2.222310 5.834817
2025-09-14 0.021223 0.054052 0.133708 0.343446 0.891854 2.276671 6.125066
2025-09-21 0.019718 0.051304 0.129596 0.340307 0.903881 2.359720 6.502541